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Good Judgment

by Good Judgment Inc. · Since 2014
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Quick facts
VendorGood Judgment Inc.
Year launched2014
StatusActive
LocationNew York, United States
Countries servedN/A
Languages1
IntegrationsN/A
Free tierNO
Free trialNO
Contact salesYES

About Good Judgment

A geopolitical and market forecasting service. It provides custom forecasts, subscription-based insights (FutureFirst™), and training workshops based on the Superforecasting® methodology, which uses elite human forecasters to predict future events.

Good Judgment Inc. is not a software product but a professional services firm that provides forecasting and strategic analysis. It commercialized the 'Superforecasting' methodology, a scientifically-validated process for making accurate predictions about geopolitical and economic events. The company offers several core services: Custom Superforecasts for organizations facing specific strategic questions, a subscription service called FutureFirst™ for ongoing insights, and training workshops to teach the Superforecasting method. The approach relies on elite human forecasters, not just algorithms, to provide nuanced, probabilistic predictions. There is no software to download or deploy; clients engage with Good Judgment for reports, dashboard access, and training. Pricing is not publicly available and requires a consultation. Support is provided via contact form, email, and phone.

Pros & Cons

Pros
  • Based on a scientifically validated methodology with a proven track record of accuracy.
  • Provides specific, quantified probabilities for events, which is more actionable than qualitative analysis.
  • Leverages elite human forecasters who can provide nuanced judgment where algorithms and big data may fail.
  • Offers training to help organizations improve their own internal forecasting capabilities.
Cons
  • This is a high-touch consulting and subscription service, not a self-serve software tool.
  • Pricing is not published and is likely to be a significant investment suitable for large organizations.
  • The service focuses on geopolitical, economic, and strategic questions, not operational business metrics like sales forecasting.

Features

Key features

Custom Superforecasts

Provides bespoke forecasts and reports on client-specific questions to manage strategic uncertainty.

FutureFirst™ Subscription Service

Offers 24/7 access to Superforecaster insights and quantified forecasts on dozens of newsworthy questions.

Superforecasting® Training

Delivers workshops and online courses to train teams and individuals in evidence-based forecasting methods.

Probabilistic Forecasting

Delivers specific, quantified probabilities for future events rather than vague qualitative predictions.

Expert Human Analysis

Leverages a network of professional Superforecasters, whose accuracy was validated in US government-sponsored research tournaments.

Additional features

Detailed Rationales

Provides access to the reasoning and data behind forecasts, allowing clients to understand the drivers of a prediction.

Continuous Updates

Forecasts are continuously updated as new information becomes available, with changes tracked on a dashboard.

Track Record Transparency

Publicly shares the performance and accuracy of its forecasters against benchmarks.

Forecasting Aptitude Screening Tool (FAST)

Helps organizations identify individuals with natural forecasting talent within their teams.

Good Judgment Open

A public forecasting platform that can be used to sponsor challenges or engage an organization's own crowd for insights.

Pricing

Free trial
Free version
Request a quote
Promo Offer

Countries & Languages

Countries served
1
Interface languages
Billing currencies

Interface languages

English

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